Gone are the days when mobility was nearly always a question of having a vehicle. Today the issue of road capacity is becoming ever more pressing. Even the safest, most comfortable and 100% emissions-free vehicle is only of limited use if it is stuck in a traffic jam. Mobility is a key human need and an important factor in the economy. It is a matter of logic that a com­ pany like DaimlerChrysler should make every endeavor to safeguard mo­ bility, thereby fulfilling humanity's economic, social and environmental needs. Nonetheless, traffic and mobility problems are the inevitable result of a concentration of people and markets. Bombay, Lagos, Shanghai, Jakarta, Sao Paulo, Cairo, Mexico City - virtually half of the world's population is urban-based, and the majority live in the metropolitan regions of the Third World. The mega-cities in the so-called developing nations are facing a dramatic increase in traffic levels. Gridlock looms on the horizon. Should traffic-choked streets become a permanent and daily occurrence, economic development will be held in check and pollution will spiral.

I Introduction into the Economic and Traffic Situation of China in General and of Nanjing in Particular.- 1. Introduction.- 2. China in a State of Flux.- 3. Nanjing City and Greater Nanjing.- 4. Traffic Development in China (especially within the Region of Nanjing).- II Description of the Model and of the Adaptation to the Available Data.- 5. The Integrated Transport and Evolution Model.- 6. The Data Situation of Nanjing.- 7. Adaptation of ITEM to the Specific Data Situation of Nanjing.- III Presentation of the Scenarios, Results of the Calculations, Conclusions and Recommendations.- 8. Methodology (Analysis and Forecasting) of the Traffic and Urban/Regional Situation of Nanjing City.- 9. Analysis of the Transport System and of the Population Development.- 10. Forecasting of the Traffic and Urban/Regional Development of Nanjing City for Different Scenarios.- 11. Summary and Recommendations.- Appendices Detailed Mathematical Description of the Model, Figures of the Results.- A1 Details of the Integrated Transport and Evolution Model.- A1.1 The Micro Level.- A1.2 The Macro Level.- A1.3 Interactions between the Micro Level and the Macro Level.- A1.4 The Stochastic Framework of the ITEM Model.- A2 Maps of the Urban Area, Nanjing City and Greater Nanjing.- A3 General Figures.- A4 Figures of the Scenarios.- References.- List of Senior Advisors Contributors and Cooperating Partners.