The aim of this book is to contribute to understanding risk knowledge and to forecasting components of early flood warning, particularly in the environment of tropical high mountains in developing cities. The research follows the modelling steps for flood forecasting development, addressing: flood hazard with emphasis on identifying debris flow predisposition; vulnerability to flash floods/debris flows; risk analysis; input precipitation; and hydrological modelling, focussing on the identification the most appropriate model for the study area for flood early warning and the added value of numerical weather models for early flood warning in a páramo area.

Introduction. Regional debris flow susceptibility analysis in mountainous peri-urban areas through morphometric and land cover indicators. Regional prioritisation of flood risk in mountainous areas. Spatial interpolation for real-time rainfall field estimation in areas with complex topography. Hydrological model assessment for flood early warning in a tropical high montane basin. Streamflow forecasts from WRF precipitation for flood early warning in mountain tropical areas.

Mariìa Carolina Rogelis was born in Bogota, Colombia in 1977. She obtained a BSc. in Civil Engineering (1999) from The Universidad Nacional de Colombia, a MEng. Water resources Management (2001) from Los Andes University (Bogotaì - Colombia) and a MSc. Hydraulic Engineering - River Basin Development (with distinction, 2004) from UNESCO-IHE Delft, the Netherlands. In 2009, she started as a PhD student at UNESCO-IHE. Mrs. Rogelis worked in flood management and flood forecasting systems at the Direccioìn de Prevencioìn y Atencioìn de Emergencias de Bogotaì for seven years. Since 2011 she works as a consultant in the field of flood risk management for The World Bank and Colombian companies.